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CollegeRoute

A game, not a prediction

Twelve courses. Not enough seats.

Points are dealt to you at random, and to seventeen other people at the table. Nobody sets the cutoffs. They come out of what the room does over the next three minutes, which is exactly how the real ones are made.

The courses, the institutions and their 2025 round one points are real, read from the CAO lists. The seat counts are not: those are game balance, because eighteen people cannot model eighty thousand applicants. Nobody types a real grade anywhere on this page.

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Your hand for this table

Everyone else at the table was dealt one too. Nobody sets the cutoffs. They come out of what the eighteen of you do in the next three minutes.

Nobody enters real grades. The number above is dealt by the game and means nothing about your Leaving Cert.

Why this is worth three minutes

The most common thing believed about CAO points is that a college decides them, the way a school decides a pass mark. It does not. A course takes the highest applicants until its places are gone, and the cutoff is simply wherever it stopped. That is why points move every year without anybody changing a rule.

The second most common belief is more expensive: that putting an ambitious course first somehow costs you a safer one lower down. It cannot. The allocation here is the same shape the CAO runs, and you can test it yourself by playing the same table twice. Your order decides which offer you get, never which offers exist. Putting a course first never raises its points and never costs you anything below it, so the honest order and the clever order are the same order.

One thing here is deliberately unlike the real system. You can see how many seats each course has and roughly how many people are circling it. In August you cannot see either, which is why the rumours that go around a school on results morning are worth nothing.